Ronghui Ning

Behavioral Simulation: Exploring A Possible Next Paradigm for Science

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Simulation technologies have been widely utilized in many scientific research fields such as weather forecasting, fluid mechanics and biological populations. It is the best tool to handle problems in complex systems, where closed-form expressions are unavailable and the target distribution in the representation space is too complex to be fully represented by a deep learning (DL) model. We believe that the development of simulation technologies is consistent with scientific paradigms. This paper induces the evolution of scientific paradigms from the perspective of data, algorithms, and computational power. Building upon this perspective, we divide simulation technologies into three stages aligning with the emergence of new paradigms, and find that advanced simulation technologies are typical instances of paradigms integration. Moreover, we propose the concept of behavioral simulation (BS), specifically sophisticated behavioral simulation (SBS), representing a higher degree of paradigms integration based on foundation models to simulate complex social systems involving sophisticated human strategies and behaviors. BS and further SBS are designed to tackle challenges concerning the complex human system that surpasses the capacity of traditional agent-based modeling simulation (ABMS), which can be regarded as a possible next paradigm for science. Through this work, we look forward to more powerful BS and SBS applications in scientific research branches within social science.

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