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Financial Vision Based Reinforcement Learning Trading Strategy
Feb 03, 2022
Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) for quantitative trading have led to its general superhuman performance in significant trading performance. However, the potential risk of AI trading is a "black box" decision. Some AI computing mechanisms are complex and challenging to understand. If we use AI without proper supervision, AI may lead to wrong choices and make huge losses. Hence, we need to ask about the AI "black box", including why did AI decide to do this or not? Why can people trust AI or not? How can people fix their mistakes? These problems also highlight the challenges that AI technology can explain in the trading field.
Dynamic Deep Convolutional Candlestick Learner
Jan 21, 2022
Candlestick pattern is one of the most fundamental and valuable graphical tools in financial trading that supports traders observing the current market conditions to make the proper decision. This task has a long history and, most of the time, human experts. Recently, efforts have been made to automatically classify these patterns with the deep learning models. The GAF-CNN model is a well-suited way to imitate how human traders capture the candlestick pattern by integrating spatial features visually. However, with the great potential of the GAF encoding, this classification task can be extended to a more complicated object detection level. This work presents an innovative integration of modern object detection techniques and GAF time-series encoding on candlestick pattern tasks. We make crucial modifications to the representative yet straightforward YOLO version 1 model based on our time-series encoding method and the property of such data type. Powered by the deep neural networks and the unique architectural design, the proposed model performs pretty well in candlestick classification and location recognition. The results show tremendous potential in applying modern object detection techniques on time-series tasks in a real-time manner.
Financial Vision Based Differential Privacy Applications
Dec 31, 2021
The importance of deep learning data privacy has gained significant attention in recent years. It is probably to suffer data breaches when applying deep learning to cryptocurrency that lacks supervision of financial regulatory agencies. However, there is little relative research in the financial area to our best knowledge. We apply two representative deep learning privacy-privacy frameworks proposed by Google to financial trading data. We designed the experiments with several different parameters suggested from the original studies. In addition, we refer the degree of privacy to Google and Apple companies to estimate the results more reasonably. The results show that DP-SGD performs better than the PATE framework in financial trading data. The tradeoff between privacy and accuracy is low in DP-SGD. The degree of privacy also is in line with the actual case. Therefore, we can obtain a strong privacy guarantee with precision to avoid potential financial loss.
Data Augmentation for Deep Candlestick Learner
May 29, 2020
To successfully build a deep learning model, it will need a large amount of labeled data. However, labeled data are hard to collect in many use cases. To tackle this problem, a bunch of data augmentation methods have been introduced recently and have demonstrated successful results in computer vision, natural language and so on. For financial trading data, to our best knowledge, successful data augmentation framework has rarely been studied. Here we propose a Modified Local Search Attack Sampling method to augment the candlestick data, which is a very important tool for professional trader. Our results show that the proposed method can generate high-quality data which are hard to distinguish by human and will open a new way for finance community to employ existing machine learning techniques even if the dataset is small.
Adversarial Robustness of Deep Convolutional Candlestick Learner
May 29, 2020
Deep learning (DL) has been applied extensively in a wide range of fields. However, it has been shown that DL models are susceptible to a certain kinds of perturbations called \emph{adversarial attacks}. To fully unlock the power of DL in critical fields such as financial trading, it is necessary to address such issues. In this paper, we present a method of constructing perturbed examples and use these examples to boost the robustness of the model. Our algorithm increases the stability of DL models for candlestick classification with respect to perturbations in the input data.
Explainable Deep Convolutional Candlestick Learner
Jan 16, 2020
Candlesticks are graphical representations of price movements for a given period. The traders can discovery the trend of the asset by looking at the candlestick patterns. Although deep convolutional neural networks have achieved great success for recognizing the candlestick patterns, their reasoning hides inside a black box. The traders cannot make sure what the model has learned. In this contribution, we provide a framework which is to explain the reasoning of the learned model determining the specific candlestick patterns of time series. Based on the local search adversarial attacks, we show that the learned model perceives the pattern of the candlesticks in a way similar to the human trader.
Deep Reinforcement Learning for Foreign Exchange Trading
Aug 21, 2019
Reinforcement learning can interact with the environment and is suitable for applications in decision control systems. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning method to establish a foreign exchange transaction, avoiding the long-standing problem of unstable trends in deep learning predictions. In the system design, we optimized the Sure-Fire statistical arbitrage policy, set three different actions, encoded the continuous price over a period of time into a heat-map view of the Gramian Angular Field (GAF) and compared the Deep Q Learning (DQN) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithms. To test feasibility, we analyzed three currency pairs, namely EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD. We trained the data in units of four hours from 1 August 2018 to 30 November 2018 and tested model performance using data between 1 December 2018 and 31 December 2018. The test results of the various models indicated that favorable investment performance was achieved as long as the model was able to handle complex and random processes and the state was able to describe the environment, validating the feasibility of reinforcement learning in the development of trading strategies.